Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.015113 0.018738 0.023428 0.030121 0.039739 0.053609 0.076274
2025-02-09 0.010804 0.014698 0.020486 0.030287 0.047857 0.081595 0.164180
2025-02-16 0.008689 0.012511 0.018716 0.030525 0.055515 0.116822 0.346315
2025-02-23 0.007317 0.010971 0.017294 0.030462 0.062424 0.160834 0.764138
2025-03-02 0.006176 0.009510 0.015533 0.028890 0.064777 0.197805 1.563127
2025-03-09 0.005415 0.008538 0.014404 0.028191 0.069087 0.253945 4.236924
2025-03-16 0.004941 0.007984 0.013934 0.028829 0.078255 0.365282 29.873969
2025-03-23 0.004513 0.007438 0.013350 0.028952 0.086135 0.512558 17253.306482
2025-03-30 0.004051 0.006756 0.012337 0.027560 0.087079 0.618725 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003706 0.006259 0.011639 0.026841 0.090678 0.800611 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003506 0.006022 0.011482 0.027693 0.103251 1.316580 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003411 0.005985 0.011782 0.030145 0.129061 3.150635 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003281 0.005891 0.012015 0.032895 0.167282 13.553050 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003050 0.005554 0.011578 0.033091 0.189284 61.958007 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002853 0.005262 0.011198 0.033359 0.215252 2320.074893 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002669 0.004978 0.010779 0.033288 0.239953 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002457 0.004604 0.010044 0.031515 0.238961 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002297 0.004334 0.009563 0.030728 0.252090 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002194 0.004186 0.009408 0.031446 0.295907 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002087 0.004016 0.009156 0.031585 0.334029 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001950 0.003763 0.008616 0.030018 0.329645 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001842 0.003572 0.008242 0.029210 0.343092 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001782 0.003489 0.008190 0.030168 0.415623 NaN NaN